2007年12月13日 星期四

The great debate on CMW continues

Here is an e-mail I just received. It was, of course, anonymous:
我剛剛收到了一封e-mail,當然,是匿名者寄來的。

Wang doesn’t strike anyone out and depends on the ridiculous number of groundballs he’s able to create being turned into outs. This is not a reliable strategy that will produce consistent results over a career. It is working in the short term, but as Bill James as pointed out in the past, no pitcher with a K/9 below the league average has gone on to have a meaningful career. He’s in no way in the same class as someone like Beckett and is most definitely not an ace. Unless he develops a legit strikeout pitch there will always be the risk that the groundballs get through and he’ll have bad starts. He can’t be counted on in the playoffs.
小王不三振任何一位打者,只靠打者打出一堆多到離譜的滾地球來製造出局數。這並不是維持生涯穩定表現的可靠辦法。在短期或許有不錯的表現,但就如同過去Bill James所指出的一樣,沒有一位有著低於聯盟平均K/9比的投手能夠持續穩定的走下去,並且有亮麗的生涯戰績。他跟同等級的北極根本沒得比,而且大多數人也不覺得他是一個ACE。除非他進化到能夠擁有不錯的三振能力,否則永遠都會有被打者擊出滾地球穿出防線的風險,以及失敗的先發表現。他在季後賽是靠不住的。

So, the 417.1 innings Wang has pitched the last two seasons are a short-term mirage. His going 38-13 is a sign of not having a reliable strategy. But the 5.2 poor innings he had in the playoffs, those are a sign that he can’t be counted on.
這麼說來,過去兩個球季,小王417.1局的投球表現都只是一個短暫的海市蜃樓。他38勝13敗的戰績都只是未來投球不可靠的前兆。而他在季後賽表現不佳的5.2局投球也是他靠不住的跡象。

I think I got my first Bill James report in 1988 and I just received his 2008 Handbook in the mail. His approach is endlessly fascinating. But when the statheads like my anonymous friend leave no room for humanity is where they lose me.
我第一次看到Bill James的報導是在1988年,我剛剛才透過郵件收到他2008年的手冊。他的報導總是讓人覺得有無窮的趣味。但是數據派的球迷(就像我這位匿名的朋友),無法以人性化的角度看待小王的表現只注重統計數字的想法,我是無法認同的。

Wang has made only 80 starts in his career, most with two pitches. I’ve stood there and watched him work on other pitches in the bullpen. I’ve talked to him at length about it. He knows people sit on his sinker. Did you know that his slider was his best pitch in college but the Yankees had him dump it when he had shoulder issues? Now he’s healthy and he’s working on it again. He also is doing a lot of work on a changeup.
小王在他生涯只先發出賽了80場比賽,大多數的比賽中只使用兩種球路。我曾在牛棚當中看他練習其他的球種。我曾與他談論過這方面的問題。他知道大家都鎖定他的伸卡球。你們知道在大學時代,他最厲害的球種其實是滑球,只是當他肩膀出現問題時,洋基禁止他再投滑球這件事情嗎?現在他的肩膀很健康而且他也解除滑球的封印了。他也花很多時間來練習變速球。

This guy shows up every five days, he pitches deep into games and he has handled almost every big-game assignment with aplomb. Why people insist on running him down remains a mystery to me.
這傢伙每隔五天就上場投球,他能投的局數長,而且總是能夠沉穩的掌控每一場重要的比賽。為什麼大家總是要貶低他的價值?這讓我百思不得其解。

————
A few of my Taiwanese friends have told me that the blog is getting some play in Taiwan tonight. So hello to you guys and thanks for reading.
一些台灣的朋友告訴我,今天晚上我的blog在台灣也有一些人在看在討論。在此跟大家打聲招呼以及感謝各位的閱讀。

News source:http://yankees.lhblogs.com/2007/12/12/the-great-debate-on-cmw-continues/

0 意見: